← Curio Grand Archive HVN Regionals
Fire SeiryuuTier 2
at Curio Grand Archive HVN Regionals
decks
1
(1.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
6-2-1
overall winrate
72.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.6%
avg ELO +4.0 per match
expected value
50.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1445
· median 1445
· range 1445–1445
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
989
Q1 1179
Q3 1378
1656
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 12.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
| Water Genbu | 12.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.1 |
| Wind Allies | 8.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.2% | -6.2 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.3 |
| Fire Kongming | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.8 |
| Wind Cats | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Tamer | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.8 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Seiryuu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
